Updated October 28, 2026 · 741 days to Election Day
How is 2028 looking?
Polling averages, pollster accuracy and prediction-market odds for the next presidential election. Ask a question or pick one below.
Free. Open data. Every number linked to the pollster that published it.
Trump approval
Disapprove +30.8
Trump Approval Rating Tracker →Vance vs. Newsom
Vance +6.8
Vance vs. Newsom →Dem primary
GOP primary
Generic ballot
Democrats +11.1
2026 Generic Congressional Ballot →Latest polls
All data →- Democrats 47% · Republicans 35%
- Approve 31%
- Approve 33% · Disapprove 66%
- Approve 34% · Disapprove 61%
- Approve 36% · Disapprove 64%
- Approve 30%
- Democrats 44% · Republicans 36%
- Buttigieg 19% · Newsom 17%
- Vance 45% · Ocasio-Cortez 37.6%
- Vance 45.1% · Newsom 38.1%
- Vance 35.4% · Rubio 16.5% · DeSantis 7.1%
- Vance 36% · Rubio 35% · DeSantis 5%
Most accurate pollsters
Full scorecard →Mean error on the final margin, 2016–2022, shrunk toward the field average so a hot streak over ten polls doesn't outrank 300 polls of steady work.
| Pollster | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| Data Orbital | 16 | 2.6 | D+0.5 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 95 | 4.0 | D+1.2 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 45 | 3.8 | D+0.7 |
| Cygnal | 38 | 3.7 | D+2.3 |
| Echelon Insights | 10 | 2.2 | R+0.7 |
| Research Co. | 58 | 4.0 | D+1.0 |
| Landmark Communications | 22 | 3.5 | D+1.2 |
| ABC News/The Washington Post | 16 | 3.2 | D+2.8 |
Markets
Polls vs. markets →2028 Presidential Election Winner · snapshot Oct 28, 2026 · Press snapshot.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | 18% | 19% |
| Gavin Newsom | 11% | 18% |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 13% | — |
| Marco Rubio | 10% | — |
| Jon Ossoff | 9% | — |
What this is
ElectionsUSA tracks public opinion ahead of the November 7, 2028 United States presidential election. It averages polls with a published, reproducible method; it keeps score of how close each pollster's final polls came to actual results; and it puts prediction-market prices next to the polls so readers can see when traders and survey respondents disagree.
The site is independent, carries no campaign, party or government affiliation, and is funded by advertising. The complete dataset is downloadable and every figure links back to the pollster that published it.